11 October 2016

Despite Alleged Manipulation of Surveys, Trump is Still Ahead

Rasmussen Poll
During Breitbart News Daily with SiriusXM host Alex Marlow last 31 July, renowned political strategist Pat Caddell outlined his charge that Reuters tampered with its own daily tracking poll to manufacture a sudden surge for Hillary Clinton.

"They not only changed their formula, to put Hillary ahead. They went back and changed the results, for a week of results where Donald Trump was ahead, and then they turned those into Hillary leads," said Caddell. "They also erased all the former polling off the site. They didn't tweak their procedure – they cooked it."

"Never in my life have I seen a news organization, and a supposedly reputable poll, do something so dishonest," Caddell continued. "What they have done is, they decided the people who said, 'oh, I’m never for someone' – oh, those must be Hillary votes. They used to be Trump voters."

"They made a switch, as much as nine points, in their results from the beginning of last week, the 25th and 26th. It is, beyond doubt, the most outrageous thing," he declared, noting that results in three- and four-way polls that include independent candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein were also skewed.

On the other hand, a more reliable Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton with 43 percent support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 42 percent. Ten percent (10 percent) like some other candidate, while four percent (4 percent) remain undecided.

This is contrary to what Gallup and Reuters surveys revealed. This is, however, the first time Clinton has edged ahead of Trump in a month. The race has been neck-and-neck in Rasmussen Reports surveying since last October.

The latest survey was taken on 26 July and 29 July, which means it won't be known until next week whether Clinton generates any bounce from her acceptance of the Democratic nomination in a speech before the party’s national convention tonight. The previous survey was taken before Trump’s acceptance speech, so if he got any bounce from his convention, it has been blunted by the opening days of the Democratic convention.

Trump still has stronger support among voters in his own party (86 percent) than Clinton does among Democrats (79 percent).

Less that half of Democrats feel Clinton has done enough to win over supporters of her primary rival Senator Bernie Sanders and most voters in their party still think there's a good chance Sanders supporters will back trump in the fall.